It was a disappointing weekend for the website, the poll I posted only got two votes and one of them was mine, so I decided not to bet on the game. That was a shame because I was going to go with the Chiefs, I just didn't see Tampa Bay beating anyone by double digits. Fortunately, despite poor reader interaction I had my best week of the season. The amazing part of the week was after halftime of the first games I was staring 1-4 in the face. Its now two weeks under the revised system and the results are promising so far. This week I went 7-2 with a 49.93% return for the week. Over the last two weeks I am 12-5-1 with a cumulative return of 76.84%. So hopefully, someone decided two weeks ago to follow my moves, after doing the exact opposite the first 8 weeks.
| (401) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. (402) Bengals Over 39½ Sun@12:00p | Win |
| (405) Baltimore Ravens +2 (-105) Sun@12:00p | Win |
| (407) New York Jets vs. (408) Buffalo Bills Over 42 Sun@12:00p | Win |
| (413) Green Bay Packers +4½ (-115) Sun@12:00p | Win |
| (415) Miami Dolphins +3½ (-105) Sun@3:05p | Win |
| (417) Atlanta Falcons -3 (EVEN) Sun@3:15p | Win |
| (423) New England Patriots +6½ Sun@7:15p | Win |
| (399) Houston Texans +190 Sun@12:00p | Loss |
| (421) Philadelphia Eagles vs. (422) Seattle Seahawks Over 43 Sun@3:15p | Loss |
Record: 7-2
Weekly Return: 49.93%
Cumulative Return: -90.02%
2 comments:
How come your cumulative isn't improving after two amazing weeks?
And I'm looking for one more good one before I chalk this up to random ebb and flow. If you come thru next week, I'm gonna want a nice breakdown of what you've been doing so differently, cause it's not clear right now.
The easiest way to explain the cumulative loss is looking at is if you had $100. If you lose 50% of that its down to $50. You then need a 100% return just to get back to even. Damn you math! So when you go 0-6-1 and lose almost 90% you need to constantly go perfect for a number of weeks just to get back to where you started. I still heavily use the averages per play but now I have a create a list of how every team ranks instead of knowing where the relatively ranked in my head. So I know the top 5 pass defenses per attempt, etc. It seems to put things in better perspective.
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