Week 3 Preview

Below are the previews. I have changed it this year, I go through each game and look at the scores. Than I come back and write about the games. I use to write and predict scores at the same time. This way if I get tired of writing about a game I have already spent a good amount of time on the score. I would rather have a crappy summary than a crappy score prediction. Below are the previews:

Teams	Spread	Total	Projected	2009 Off	2009 Def	Prediction
These could be two of the worst teams in football. The Lions hope this is a chance to break their 19 game losing streak. The problem is that the Redskins might be bad, but I don't think they are Lions bad. The problem is that the Redskins are favored by 6 points on the road on a different turf then they are use to playing against. I am going to pass on this game.
Washington (1-1)	-6	38.5	22.25	13	15	21
Detroit (0-2)	6	38.5	16.25	20	36	14
One thing I remember from last year is that a team that couldn't score would continue not to score. Sure you expect the Patriots to score a lot of points but they have no running game and a QB who is struggling much like Manning did coming back from his injury. I don't expect them to breakout against a strong Falcons defense. I expect the Falcons to score 21 points the same as the Patriots, I am taking the Falcons and the 4.
Atlanta (2-0)	4	46.5	21.25	23.5	13.5	21
New England (1-1)	-4	46.5	25.25	17	20	21
Unfortunately, the Vikings look like the real deal. They are averaging 30 points a game and I expect them to keep scoring until someone can stop AP. The 49ers have been a good story but this is a tough place to play and their QB is still Shaun Hill. I expect them to score the 17 points a game the Vikings are giving up. The tells me to take the Vikings.
San Francisco (2-0)	6.5	40	16.75	21.5	13	17
Minnesota (2-0)	-6.5	40	23.25	30.5	16.5	28
Once again, when a team isn't scoring points it usually means they are not going to score points. The Rams have scored a total of 7 points in two games. I don't know if they could score 17 points against anyone in the NFL at this point. They might be lucky to score 10 points. The Packers should score at least 21 points. I am taking the Packers.
Green Bay (1-1)	-6.5	41	23.75	22.5	23	21
St Louis (0-2)	6.5	41	17.25	3.5	18.5	10
The Ravens are averaging 34 points a game and the Browns are giving up close to that many points. I am a little surprised that Vegas has them only at 26 points. I expect them to score almost 35 points and the Browns would need to score over 22 points for the Ravens not to cover. I don't see that happening at all, another crappy offense.
Cleveland (0-2)	13	38.5	12.75	13	30.5	17
Baltimore (2-0)	-13	38.5	25.75	34.5	25	34
The Giants are averaging 28 points a game and Tampa Bay's defense is allowing 34 points a game. I see the Giants scoring at least the 34 points in this game. The Tampa Bay defense you know from the past is gone. Tampa Bay would have to score 27 points for the Giants not to cover. I don't see that happening with their offense combined with the Giants defense.
NY Giants (2-0)	-6.5	44	25.25	28	24	30
Tampa Bay (0-2)	6.5	44	18.75	20.5	33.5	20
I was all about to write about doubting the Jets and taking the Titans. Than I remembered that the stats are all pointing to the Jets winning and winning big. I am not going to take the Jets but even better I am not taking the Titans. I am going to pass on this game.
Tennessee (0-2)	1	36.5	17.75	20.5	23.5	20
NY Jets (2-0)	-1	36.5	18.75	20	8	21
The Eagles are scoring 30 points a game while the Chiefs are allowing 25 points a game. I expect the Eagles to score 30 points. The Chiefs have scored 17 points a game and that’s what I expect them to score against the Eagles. That’s a lot bigger difference than Vegas has.
Kansas City (0-2)	9	42	16.5	17	25.5	14
Philadelphia (1-1)	-9	42	25.5	30	29	28
I am still not sold on the Texans and I expect them to score the 21 points a game they are averaging. The bigger issue are the Jaguars. They are only averaing 14 points a game but the Texans are allowing 28 points a game. I think they split the difference and the Jaguars get 21 points. This puts it at basically a tie which means I am taking the Jaguars ina very close game.
Jacksonville (0-2)	3.5	47	21.75	14.5	22.5	21
Houston (1-1)	-3.5	47	25.25	20.5	27.5	22
The Bears are a dumb long snap away from being 2-0. Their offensive numbers aren't great but it was against the Packers and the Steelers. I think they score a little more than the 16 points a game they are averaging, with 21. I think the Seahawks will score the 17 points a game the Bears are giving up.
Chicago (1-1)	-1	37	19	16	17.5	21
Seattle (1-1)	1	37	18	19	11.5	17
I am going to keep riding the Bills and the over. I am going on the theory that they will run more plays because of the no huddle. I also like that Vegas has a lower projected offensive number for both teams. So over it is.
New Orleans (2-0)	-6	52	29	46.5	24.5	35
Buffalo (1-1)	6	52	23	28.5	22.5	28
At first I would jump all over the Chargers and this game. The problem is they are without their center and this has always been a problem for teams. On the other hand, its hard to take an east coast team traveling to the west coast after a Monday night game. Pass.
Miami (0-2)	6	44	19	15	23	21
San Diego (1-1)	-6	44	25	25	25.5	25
The Broncos continue to play great defense. At some point you might expect them to give up more than 6.5 points a game. The good news is that point will probably not be reached by the Raiders who have struggled on offense all season. I expect the Raiders to be lucky to score 11 points. That means the Broncos only have to score 13 points to cover. I am taking the Broncos.
Denver (2-0)	-1	36.5	18.75	19.5	6.5	19
Oakland (1-1)	1	36.5	17.75	16.5	17	11
I concur that the Steelers will score 21 points, it is above their season average but close to what the Bengals are allowing. On the other hand, I think the Bengals will score less than their 19 points a game they are averaging and even less than the 16.5 Vegas has them scoring. I am taking the Steelers in a very important game for them.
Pittsburgh (1-1)	-4	37	20.5	13.5	13.5	21
Cincinnati (1-1)	4	37	16.5	19	18	14
I don't think there is a team in the NFC that the Colts should be underdogs against, especially the Cardinals who lost to the 49ers.
Indianapolis (2-0)	2.5	48	22.75	20.5	17.5	24
Arizona (1-1)	-2.5	48	25.25	23.5	18.5	21
Until Jake Delhomme has a good game I am betting against him and the Panthers everytime I have the chance.
Carolina (0-2)	9	47.5	19.25	15	33	21
Dallas (1-1)	-9	47.5	28.25	32.5	27	33