Monday, October 20, 2008

Week 7 Results

Things continue to go poorly for the picks and its obvious that the current system is not working. I keep hoping that we find a random reader with enough free time to do some hard core analysis on the picks. It looks like I might have to do the dirty work myself. I think the Bears game was a perfect blue print of what I should be doing. I was actually within a point of the line but I thought the Bears were playing better than their stats showed and they got the breaks for the win. It seems simple but I need to put more emphasis on how the teams are actually playing and not 100% on the stats. The other change is to grab some lines earlier in the week instead of later. Sure you might get burned by the occasional injury but I can't tell you the number of times a line has opened further away from my guess only to gradually get closer. If you look at the number of games I loss this week a number of them where under 2 points. On to the disappointing results:

(411) Baltimore Ravens vs. (412) Miami Dolphins Over 36½ Sun@11:00a Win
(416) Chicago Bears -3 (-130) Sun@11:00a Win
(425) Cleveland Browns +7½ (-115) Sun@2:15p Win
(427) Indianapolis Colts -2½ Sun@2:15p Loss
(406) Kansas City Chiefs +9½ (-115) Sun@11:00a Loss
(410) Cincinnati Bengals +10 (-115) Sun@11:00a Loss
(417) New Orleans Saints +3 (-120) Sun@11:00a Loss
(419) San Francisco 49ers +11 (-115) Sun@11:00a Loss
(423) New York Jets -3½ (+105) Sun@2:15p Loss

Record: 3-6
Weekly Return: -38.2%
Cumulative Return: -93.45%

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